05-024 · EVIDENCE C · SOURCE-SENSITIVE
Don’t fall for “strikethrough prices” or impulse buying during sales
不为「划线价」和大促囤货
Zero monetary cost. The trade‑off is that you might miss out on some genuine discounts. You’ll need to keep track of the regular prices of the items you buy most often. The real challenge is resisting the urge to stock up on the day of a sale.
When judging whether something is cheap or expensive, people rely on the first price they see; later adjustments rarely make up for that initial impression. Thus, a claim like “original price 999, now 499” makes us systematically overestimate how much we’re saving. By regulation, the baseline for a discount should be the lowest price at which the item actually sold in the seven days preceding the promotion; the crossed‑out price isn’t necessarily a real transaction price.
C
Move “Don’t fall for “strikethrough prices” or impulse buying during sales” to Future Me's calendar
The excuse
If I do not open the notes, no new task has technically appeared.
What feels good now
Today I keep a few minutes, a bit of persistence and avoid interrupting my default routine.
What the source says
The source summarizes the return this way: “When judging whether something is cheap or expensive, people rely on the first price they see; later adjustments rarely make up for that initial impression. Thus, a claim like “original price 999, now 499” makes us systematically overestimate how much we’re saving. By regulation, the baseline for a discount should be the lowest price at which the item actually sold in the seven days preceding the promotion; the crossed‑out price isn’t necessarily a real transaction price.” Evidence grade C. The original states the population, caveats, and sources; this is not a personal forecast.
Use the original facts and limits. For an urgent medical, safety, financial, or legal issue, contact a qualified local professional or service.
THE ENGLISH EDITION
Original recommendation and evidence
24. Don’t fall for “strikethrough prices” or impulse buying during sales
Cost: Zero monetary cost. The trade‑off is that you might miss out on some genuine discounts. You’ll need to keep track of the regular prices of the items you buy most often. The real challenge is resisting the urge to stock up on the day of a sale.
In plain terms: When judging whether something is cheap or expensive, people rely on the first price they see; later adjustments rarely make up for that initial impression. Thus, a claim like “original price 999, now 499” makes us systematically overestimate how much we’re saving. By regulation, the baseline for a discount should be the lowest price at which the item actually sold in the seven days preceding the promotion; the crossed‑out price isn’t necessarily a real transaction price.
Benefit: Human judgment is anchored to the first price encountered, and subsequent corrections are usually insufficient. Consequently, statements such as “original price 999, now 499” inflate our perception of the discount amount. Official rules require that the reference price be the minimum actual sale price recorded in the same store during the seven days prior to the sale; the discount percentage must be calculated against that figure. The price marked through may never have been charged in reality (China, effective 2020).
Evidence grade: C
Sources: Tversky A, Kahneman D (1974). Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Science 185(4157):1124-1131. <https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124>; State Administration for Market Regulation of China (2020). (General Administration Order No. 32, Article 21). <https://www.samr.gov.cn/zw/zfxxgk/fdzdgknr/fgs/art/2023/art_cae53a080be2401e8f91c6d6291539f8.html>
Notes: The anchoring effect is a finding from laboratory studies; no one has quantified exactly how much money consumers lose by over‑buying. There are also hidden costs: items may expire, they take up space, and we tend to use them more simply because they’re on hand. Only purchase in bulk when all three conditions hold: a long shelf life, a definite need for the product, and a price genuinely lower than its usual cost.
Read the complete Chinese source and notes
24. 不为「划线价」和大促囤货
成本: 不花钱。代价是有些真折扣你也放过了。你得记住自己常买那几样东西的日常价。难的是大促当天忍住不囤。
说人话: 人判断一样东西贵不贵,靠的是最先看到的那个数字,之后再怎么调整都调不够。所以「原价 999 现价 499」会让你系统性地高估它有多便宜。而按规定,打折要拿来当基准的,只是这家店促销前七天里的最低成交价。那个划掉的价格,不一定真卖过。
收益: 人的判断会被最先看到的数字定住,之后再调整通常调不够。所以「原价 999 现价 499」会系统性地抬高你对「便宜了多少」的估计。监管规定,折价的基准应当是促销前七日内同一家店的最低成交价,打几折要拿这家店促销前七天里实际卖出去的最低价当参照。划掉的那个价格,不一定真的卖过(中国,2020 年起施行)
证据等级: C
来源: Tversky A, Kahneman D (1974). Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Science 185(4157):1124-1131. <https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124>;国家市场监督管理总局 (2020). 规范促销行为暂行规定(总局令第 32 号,第二十一条). <https://www.samr.gov.cn/zw/zfxxgk/fdzdgknr/fgs/art/2023/art_cae53a080be2401e8f91c6d6291539f8.html>
备注: 锚定效应是实验室里得出的结论,没有人算过囤货实际亏多少钱。囤货还有几笔你不会记在账上的成本:东西过期,占地方,以及「反正家里有,那就多用点」。只囤这三种都满足的东西:保质期长,确定会用完,单价确实比以前的价格低。
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