06-004 · EVIDENCE A · LOW-RISK READING
Don’t take antioxidant supplements to prevent cancer (beta-carotene, vitamin E, vitamin A)
不要为了防癌吃抗氧化补剂(β 胡萝卜素、维生素 E、维生素 A)
Roughly 0.5 to 2 yuan per day. For smokers, the real cost is a higher risk of lung cancer.
This isn’t just ineffective — it’s actually harmful. A review of 78 randomized controlled trials involving nearly 300000 people found that those taking antioxidant supplements had a slightly higher overall mortality rate. Two large trials focused on smokers showed that beta-carotene raised the likelihood of developing lung cancer by 18% to 28% and increased death rates by 8% to 17%. Smokers and people exposed to asbestos should absolutely avoid these supplements.
A
Move “Don’t take antioxidant supplements to prevent cancer (beta-carotene, vitamin E, vitamin A)” to Future Me's calendar
The excuse
I can spend longer deciding whether to start than the small action would take.
What feels good now
Today I keep a few minutes and avoid interrupting my default routine.
What the source says
The source summarizes the return this way: “This isn’t just ineffective — it’s actually harmful. A review of 78 randomized controlled trials involving nearly 300000 people found that those taking antioxidant supplements had a slightly higher overall mortality rate. Two large trials focused on smokers showed that beta-carotene raised the likelihood of developing lung cancer by 18% to 28% and increased death rates by 8% to 17%. Smokers and people exposed to asbestos should absolutely avoid these supplements.” Evidence grade A. The original states the population, caveats, and sources; this is not a personal forecast.
Open the original entry, check who the evidence applies to, then pick one small step that fits.
THE ENGLISH EDITION
Original recommendation and evidence
4. Don’t take antioxidant supplements to prevent cancer (beta-carotene, vitamin E, vitamin A)
Cost: Roughly 0.5 to 2 yuan per day. For smokers, the real cost is a higher risk of lung cancer.
In plain terms: This isn’t just ineffective — it’s actually harmful. A review of 78 randomized controlled trials involving nearly 300000 people found that those taking antioxidant supplements had a slightly higher overall mortality rate. Two large trials focused on smokers showed that beta-carotene raised the likelihood of developing lung cancer by 18% to 28% and increased death rates by 8% to 17%. Smokers and people exposed to asbestos should absolutely avoid these supplements.
Benefit: Cochrane analyzed 78 randomized controlled trials with 296707 participants. Overall, those taking antioxidant supplements had a relative risk of death of 1.02 (a value of 1 means no difference; the 95% confidence interval was 0.98–1.05). When only higher-quality trials were considered, the relative risk rose to 1.04 (1.01–1.07). Specifically, beta-carotene raised the risk to 1.05 (1.01–1.09) and vitamin E to 1.03 (1.00–1.05). The ATBC trial followed 29133 male smokers who took 20 mg of beta-carotene daily; it found a 18% higher rate of lung cancer (range 3%–36%) and an 8% higher overall mortality rate (range 1%–16%). The CARET trial included 18314 smokers and asbestos-exposed individuals; it showed a 28% higher risk of lung cancer (relative risk 1.28, 1.04–1.57) and a 17% higher risk of all-cause death (relative risk 1.17, 1.03–1.33). The perception that these supplements are beneficial stems from the flawed logic that antioxidants prevent aging, which in turn prevents cancer — each step of this chain seems intuitive at first glance.
Evidence grade: A
Sources: Bjelakovic G et al. (2012). Antioxidant supplements for prevention of mortality in healthy participants and patients with various diseases. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. <https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD007176.pub2>; The Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta Carotene Cancer Prevention Study Group (1994). The effect of vitamin E and beta carotene on the incidence of lung cancer and other cancers in male smokers. NEJM. <https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199404143301501>; Omenn GS et al. (1996). Effects of a combination of beta carotene and vitamin A on lung cancer and cardiovascular disease. NEJM. <https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199605023341802>
Notes: The US Preventive Services Task Force, the official US body that evaluates preventive measures, assigned a grade D to beta-carotene and vitamin E in 2022, meaning these supplements are not recommended. Smokers and asbestos-exposed individuals have already suffered harm from their use. Antioxidants naturally present in fruits and vegetables are not covered by this recommendation, so they can still be consumed as normal.
Source links
- Bjelakovic G et al. (2012). Antioxidant supplements for prevention of mortality in healthy participants and patients with various diseases. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. ↗
- The Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta Carotene Cancer Prevention Study Group (1994). The effect of vitamin E and beta carotene on the incidence of lung cancer and other cancers in male smokers. NEJM. ↗
- Omenn GS et al. (1996). Effects of a combination of beta carotene and vitamin A on lung cancer and cardiovascular disease. NEJM. ↗
- Pinned original chapter on GitHub ↗
Read the complete Chinese source and notes
4. 不要为了防癌吃抗氧化补剂(β 胡萝卜素、维生素 E、维生素 A)
成本: 一天约 0.5 到 2 元。对吸烟的人来说,真正的成本是肺癌风险跟着往上走。
说人话: 这一条不只是没用。78 项试验、近 30 万人合起来算,吃抗氧化补剂的人死亡率反而略高一点。两项专门找吸烟者做的大试验里,β 胡萝卜素让得肺癌的比例高了 18% 到 28%,死亡高了 8% 到 17%。吸烟的人、接触过石棉的人尤其别吃。
收益: Cochrane 把 78 项随机分组的对照试验、296,707 人合起来算。吃抗氧化补剂的人,总死亡 RR 1.02(RR 是风险比,1 就是两边一个样;95% CI 0.98–1.05 是可信范围)。只看设计更严谨、不容易跑偏的那批试验,RR 1.04(1.01–1.07),略高一点。单看 β 胡萝卜素 RR 1.05(1.01–1.09),单看维生素 E RR 1.03(1.00–1.05)。ATBC 试验找了 29,133 名男性吸烟者,每天吃 20 mg,得肺癌的比例高 18%(3%–36%),总死亡高 8%(1%–16%)。CARET 试验找了 18,314 名吸烟者或者接触过石棉的人。他们得肺癌的风险高约 28%(RR 1.28,1.04–1.57)。死亡风险高约 17%(全因死亡 RR 1.17,1.03–1.33)。它看起来划算,是因为「抗氧化就是抗衰老,抗衰老就能防癌」这条推理链,每一步听上去都像常识
证据等级: A
来源: Bjelakovic G et al. (2012). Antioxidant supplements for prevention of mortality in healthy participants and patients with various diseases. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. <https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD007176.pub2>;The Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta Carotene Cancer Prevention Study Group (1994). The effect of vitamin E and beta carotene on the incidence of lung cancer and other cancers in male smokers. NEJM. <https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199404143301501>;Omenn GS et al. (1996). Effects of a combination of beta carotene and vitamin A on lung cancer and cardiovascular disease. NEJM. <https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199605023341802>
备注: 美国那个负责给预防措施打分的官方机构 USPSTF,2022 年给 β 胡萝卜素和维生素 E 评了 D 级,意思是建议别用。吸烟的人和接触过石棉的人已经因此受了害。蔬菜水果里本身含的抗氧化物不算在内,照吃
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