13-030 · EVIDENCE B · SOURCE-SENSITIVE
First, figure out what kind of building you’re in during an earthquake: if it meets seismic safety standards, stay right where you are; if it’s an old structure prone to collapse, head outside right away.
地震时先看自己在什么房子里:符合抗震设防的楼里就地躲,会垮的老房子门在几步外就出去
No cost at all. Just take a moment beforehand to see how many steps it takes to reach the exit, which route to take, and which tables are sturdy enough to hide under.
First, determine what kind of building you’re in. For structures built after 2001 that meet seismic codes, you’ll need to go down stairs or through a hallway to exit — so stay put: protect your head and neck, crawl under a solid table, and hold onto its legs tightly. In single-story homes, older brick buildings, or makeshift houses without seismic protection, the exit is just a few steps away — so leave immediately. Under no circumstances should you jump from heights, use elevators, or try to run down stairs while the ground is shaking.
B
Move “First, figure out what kind of building you’re in during an earthquake: if it meets seismic safety standards, stay right where you are; if it’s an old structure prone to collapse, head outside right away.” to Future Me's calendar
The excuse
I can spend longer deciding whether to start than the small action would take.
What feels good now
Today I keep a few minutes and avoid interrupting my default routine.
What the source says
The source summarizes the return this way: “First, determine what kind of building you’re in. For structures built after 2001 that meet seismic codes, you’ll need to go down stairs or through a hallway to exit — so stay put: protect your head and neck, crawl under a solid table, and hold onto its legs tightly. In single-story homes, older brick buildings, or makeshift houses without seismic protection, the exit is just a few steps away — so leave immediately. Under no circumstances should you jump from heights, use elevators, or try to run down stairs while the ground is shaking.” Evidence grade B. The original states the population, caveats, and sources; this is not a personal forecast.
Use the original facts and limits. For an urgent medical, safety, financial, or legal issue, contact a qualified local professional or service.
THE ENGLISH EDITION
Original recommendation and evidence
30. First, figure out what kind of building you’re in during an earthquake: if it meets seismic safety standards, stay right where you are; if it’s an old structure prone to collapse, head outside right away.
Cost: No cost at all. Just take a moment beforehand to see how many steps it takes to reach the exit, which route to take, and which tables are sturdy enough to hide under.
In plain terms: First, determine what kind of building you’re in. For structures built after 2001 that meet seismic codes, you’ll need to go down stairs or through a hallway to exit — so stay put: protect your head and neck, crawl under a solid table, and hold onto its legs tightly. In single-story homes, older brick buildings, or makeshift houses without seismic protection, the exit is just a few steps away — so leave immediately. Under no circumstances should you jump from heights, use elevators, or try to run down stairs while the ground is shaking.
Benefit: The China Earthquake Administration’s educational video “Earthquake: Hide or Run?” promotes the rule “Take shelter nearby during the quake, then evacuate quickly afterward,” but explicitly limits this advice to “buildings that meet seismic safety standards.” The reasoning is that such structures “are far less likely to collapse entirely.” The video also notes that “falling building components and decorative items” pose the greatest threat to life safety, while “running around without any protection during a quake” increases the risk of being struck by falling ceilings, chandeliers, or other objects. Recommended actions include “using hands or soft objects to shield the head and neck” and “gripping table legs tightly”; if no table is available, “crouch close to load-bearing walls and stay away from exterior walls, windows, and balconies.” For those outdoors, the advice is “immediately move to an open area away from hazards.” Conversely, during the 1988 Armenian earthquake, Soviet-era prefabricated panel buildings collapsed en masse. A case-control study conducted after that disaster concluded that “leaving a building right after the first tremor is a protective behavior.” People who remained indoors were 4.40 times more likely to sustain injuries than those who evacuated (95% CI 2.24–8.71). The odds of injury indoors were 12.20 times higher than outdoors (3.62–63.79), and in buildings five stories or taller, this risk rose to 3.65 times that of lower structures (2.12–6.33).
Evidence grade: B
Sources: China Earthquake Administration (produced by Anhui Provincial Seismological Bureau). When an earthquake comes, should you hide or run? (Popular science video, subtitled transcription). <https://www.cea.gov.cn/cea/dzpd/dzcs/5537260/index.html>; Armenian HK, Noji EK, Oganesian AP (1992). A case-control study of injuries arising from the earthquake in Armenia, 1988. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 70(2), 251-257. Mahue-Giangreco M, Mack W, Seligson H, Bourque LB (2001). Risk factors associated with moderate and serious injuries attributable to the 1994 Northridge Earthquake. Annals of Epidemiology, 11(5), 347-357. <https://doi.org/10.1016/s1047-2797(01)00220-4>
Notes: This topic remains debated, as the two main conclusions apply to distinctly different types of buildings. The China Earthquake Administration itself stipulates that “taking shelter” is only advisable “in buildings that meet seismic safety standards,” and also emphasizes that decisions must be “tailored to local conditions and individual circumstances” — meaning you must consider both the building’s structural integrity and your own physical ability to move. In Armenia, entire buildings collapsed, leaving no safe spot to hide, so evacuation was the only viable option. The U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency advises residents to “drop to the ground, protect the head and neck, hold on tight, and avoid running outside” — where injuries are primarily caused by falling debris and falls during tremors. Research from the Northridge earthquake further shows that reaching for objects or gripping seemingly stable items can actually increase injury risk. Ultimately, the key question isn’t “should I run or stay?” but rather “is this building likely to collapse, and can I reach open ground within seconds?” For buildings constructed after 2001 that require navigating stairs or hallways to exit, staying put is the safest choice. For single-story homes, older brick buildings, and makeshift houses without seismic protection, the exit is just a few steps away — so leave immediately. It’s worth noting that the Armenian study only compared injured and uninjured survivors, excluded fatalities, and didn’t account for differences in building height; since those able to escape were more likely to live on lower floors, these figures should be interpreted with some caution. Under no circumstances should you jump from heights, use elevators, or attempt to run down stairs during tremors. Once outside, stay far away from tall structures, overpasses, utility poles, glass facades, and billboards.
Source links
- 中国地震局(安徽省地震局制作). 地震来了,是躲还是跑?(科普视频,字幕转录). ↗
- Armenian HK, Noji EK, Oganesian AP (1992). A case-control study of injuries arising from the earthquake in Armenia, 1988. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 70(2), 251-257. ↗
- US FEMA Ready.gov. Earthquakes. ↗
- Mahue-Giangreco M, Mack W, Seligson H, Bourque LB (2001). Risk factors associated with moderate and serious injuries attributable to the 1994 Northridge Earthquake. Annals of Epidemiology, 11(5), 347-357. ↗
- Pinned original chapter on GitHub ↗
Read the complete Chinese source and notes
30. 地震时先看自己在什么房子里:符合抗震设防的楼里就地躲,会垮的老房子门在几步外就出去
成本: 不花钱。提前看一眼自己家出门要几步、走哪条路、哪张桌子结实。
说人话: 先看自己在什么房子里。2001 年以后按规范建的楼,要下楼梯、穿门厅才能出去的,就地躲:护住头颈钻到结实桌子下面,抓牢桌腿。平房、老砖房、没抗震设防的自建房,门就在几步外,出去。任何情况都不跳楼、不坐电梯、不在摇晃中下楼梯。
收益: 中国地震局科普片《地震来了,是躲还是跑?》的口诀是「震时就近躲避,震后迅速撤离」,并明确限定「这里指的是在符合抗震设防要求的建筑内」。理由是这类建筑「整体垮塌的可能性较小」。原文说「坠落的建筑构件及装饰物品」「才是对生命安全最大的威胁」。而「震时无保护措施的盲目乱跑」「反而容易被坠落的天花板、吊灯(扇)等物品砸伤」。躲的做法是「用手或者其他软物保护好头颈部」「并牢牢地抓住桌腿」;没有桌子就「迅速贴紧承重墙蹲伏」「避开外墙、窗户、阳台」。「如果在户外」则「应该第一时间疏散到空旷的地方避震」。反过来看,1988 年亚美尼亚地震是苏联式预制板楼成片垮塌。那次的病例对照研究写着,「第一下震动之后离开建筑是保护性行为」。待在室内的人受伤的可能性,是跑出去的 4.40 倍(比值比 4.40),95% CI 2.24–8.71(可信范围)。在建筑里受伤的可能性,是在室外的 12.20 倍(3.62–63.79)。在 5 层以上的楼里,是在更矮的楼里的 3.65 倍(2.12–6.33)
证据等级: B
来源: 中国地震局(安徽省地震局制作). 地震来了,是躲还是跑?(科普视频,字幕转录). <https://www.cea.gov.cn/cea/dzpd/dzcs/5537260/index.html>;Armenian HK, Noji EK, Oganesian AP (1992). A case-control study of injuries arising from the earthquake in Armenia, 1988. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 70(2), 251-257. <https://europepmc.org/article/MED/1600585>;US FEMA Ready.gov. Earthquakes. <https://www.ready.gov/earthquakes>;Mahue-Giangreco M, Mack W, Seligson H, Bourque LB (2001). Risk factors associated with moderate and serious injuries attributable to the 1994 Northridge Earthquake. Annals of Epidemiology, 11(5), 347-357. <https://doi.org/10.1016/s1047-2797(01)00220-4>
备注: 争议,两种结论针对的是两种房子。中国地震局自己也把「躲」的前提写成了「符合抗震设防要求的建筑内」。它还要求「因地制宜」「因人而异」,一起看楼抗不抗震、你人在哪个位置、自己跑不跑得动。亚美尼亚那批楼整栋垮塌,躲无处可躲,出去才占优。美国 FEMA 对本国住宅给的是「就地趴下、护住头颈、抓牢,不要往外跑」,那里的伤主要来自坠物和摇晃中移动摔倒。Northridge 的研究还提示,伸手去接东西、扶住「看起来稳」的东西会加重受伤。所以光问「跑不跑」没用,要判断「这栋楼会不会垮、你几秒内能不能到空地」。2001 年以后按规范建的楼房,需要下楼梯或者穿门厅的,就地躲。平房、老旧砖房、无抗震设防的自建房,门就在几步外,出去。亚美尼亚这项研究只比了幸存者中受伤与未受伤的,没把遇难者算进去,也没说明有没有把楼层高低的影响扣掉。能跑出去的人本来就可能住在低层,数字要打折看。任何情况下都不跳楼、不坐电梯、不在摇晃中下楼梯。到室外要远离高大建筑、高架桥、电线杆、玻璃幕墙和广告牌。
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